Why Harry Reid can't seem to put Sharron Angle in the rearview mirror
| Washington
Sen. Harry Reid is still in trouble. Election day is creeping closer, yet the majority leader remains tied with GOP challenger Sharron Angle in polls. Plus, there鈥檚 increasing evidence that Nevada voters aren鈥檛 wild about Senator Reid鈥檚 main marketing point 鈥� the value of his influence in Washington.
The bottom line: Nevadans clearly aren鈥檛 happy with their senior senator. The biggest remaining question is whether they will be comfortable enough with Ms. Angle, a "tea party" favorite, to hand her Reid鈥檚 seat in November.
The latest non-good news for Reid came with today鈥檚 release of a Mason-Dixon Polling survey that shows he has a statistically insignificant lead of 46 to 44 percent over Angle. That鈥檚 a tie because the difference between the two is within the poll鈥檚 sampling error margin of plus or minus 4 percent.
Two weeks ago a similar Mason-Dixon poll showed Reid at 43 percent and Angle at 42 percent. That means in recent days the number of undecided voters has shrunk (both candidate鈥檚 numbers jumped slightly) but those voters are not breaking for Reid. Any political pro would tell you that鈥檚 bad news for an incumbent.
Another warning sign is Reid鈥檚 unfavorable rating. A slight majority of those surveyed in the new poll 鈥� 51 percent 鈥� said they had unfavorable feelings toward the man who helped push President Obama鈥檚 health-care plan through the Senate.
Similarly, 51 percent of respondents said they felt Reid鈥檚 seniority in the Senate was not too important to give up. That鈥檚 bad for Reid, too, considering that he has been running ads in Nevada that feature the catch phrase, 鈥淣o one can do more."
If there is any good news for Reid in the new numbers, it is that his opponent is not much more popular than he is. Forty-five percent of respondents said they had an unfavorable view of Angle, a former member of the state Assembly who has a history of occasionally making statements that go beyond the bounds of Republican orthodoxy.
On Thursday, for instance, Angle told a broadcast interviewer in Nevada that the US should rethink its ties to the United Nations.
She told a KLAS television reporter that the UN is not mentioned as a priority in the Constitution, and that it 鈥渞esides on our soil and costs us money."
Going forward, Reid鈥檚 ability to hold on to his job may depend on how much he can make the November vote a referendum about Angle, as well as himself. So expect more negative ads from the Reid camp.
In that vein, Reid recently released a 30-second spot that features a statement made by Angle in another broadcast interview to the effect that if Congress keeps going the way it is 鈥減eople are really looking towards those Second Amendment remedies."
The Second Amendment is the one that guarantees firearm rights, so the spot highlights Angle鈥檚 implicit reference to armed resistance.
Angle鈥檚 words are "crazy" says the spot鈥檚 narrator, Bill Ames, who identifies himself as the president of the Peace Officers鈥� Research Association of Nevada and a Republican who himself supports the right to bear arms.
