Sarah Palin leads the GOP presidential pack for 2012
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It鈥檚 more than two years away and we鈥檙e all enjoying summer 鈥 even the Obamas up in Maine 鈥 so what better time to talk about the Republican nominee for President in 2012?
鈥淎re you crazy??鈥 we hear you asking. But here at The Vote, we look for any excuse to riff on campaign politics, especially when it involves Republicans acting like Democrats 鈥 taking shots at one another and jostling for position.
The Gallup polling organization has just released its latest on likely within the GOP. Not surprisingly, Sarah Palin leads all the guys with presidential aspirations (Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, and Bobby Jindal) 鈥 not counting everybody in the US Senate, all of whom believe themselves to be presidential timber.
Palin鈥檚 at 76 percent 鈥渇avorable鈥 among Republicans 鈥 at least 10 percentage points higher than any of the guys.
It鈥檚 easy to see why. Although all of them except Jindal have political action committees trolling for dollars, SarahPAC already has a million-dollar war chest with which she鈥檚 able to support other Republicans and thereby gain party influence. She recently made $75,000 for giving a speech at the Stanislaus campus of California State University.
Her 鈥渕ama grizzlies鈥 line resonates with Republican and many independent women. Her message and rhetorical tone is very much in line with the 鈥渢ea party鈥 movement. Her best-seller 鈥淕oing Rogue: An American Life鈥 has sold more than 2 million copies, and a biography aimed at young readers is due out this fall.
But Palin also is a lightning rod figure, whose as well.
As Gallup puts it, 鈥淗er image was generally more positive than negative during most of the 2008 campaign, but has tilted more negative last year and this year.鈥 Among all Americans (not just Republicans), Palin has 鈥渁 decidedly mixed image: 44 percent rate her favorably and 47 percent unfavorably.鈥
Part of that, no doubt, is the continuing soap opera drama of the Palin family 鈥 this week it was the reuniting of Bristol Palin and Levi Johnston, Bristol鈥檚 former boyfriend and the father of her son.
Gingrich (another polarizing figure) has a similar favorable/unfavorable rating. But the other three 鈥 for the moment, at least 鈥 are viewed more favorably than unfavorably.
So that leaves the situation for 2012 very much in play. And it sets the scene for what undoubtedly will be intraparty sniping.
鈥淪he鈥檚 not a serious human being,鈥 a Romney adviser said of Palin, at Time. 鈥淚f she鈥檚 standing up there in a debate and the answers are more than 15 seconds long, she鈥檚 in trouble.鈥
In a statement, the Palin camp quickly responded with reference to Ronald Reagan鈥檚 鈥渆leventh commandment鈥 鈥 鈥淭hou shalt not speak ill of any fellow Republican.鈥
On Twitter, Romney for his adviser鈥檚 jab at Palin: 鈥淭IME says unnamed advisors disparaged @SarahPalinUSA. Anonymous numbskulls. She鈥檚 proven her smarts; they鈥檝e disproven theirs.鈥
See, isn鈥檛 this fun?
Related:
Sarah Palin: What's she going to do with her $1 million war chest?
Bristol Palin and Levi Johnston reunite: What it means for Sarah Palin