Could Petraeus scandal enable fiscal cliff deal by diverting media glare?
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Everyone was expecting this to be a week of high drama in Washington: In the wake of his reelection, President Obama would begin official negotiations with congressional Republicans to fix the so-called 鈥渇iscal cliff,鈥 the combination of automatic spending cuts and massive tax increases scheduled to hit at the end of the year.
Both sides have indicated a desire to work together, but the policy preferences between them remain stark, and a deal is far from certain. If they fail to find a solution, the ramifications would be potentially disastrous for the nation's economy.
Under normal circumstances, this kind of high-stakes maneuvering would be the subject of intense media scrutiny, with nonstop cable news coverage, and partisans on both sides trying to gain leverage in the press and behind the scenes.
Instead, what we got this week was a different kind of drama entirely 鈥撀爋ne that鈥檚 more reminiscent of high school, but that has sucked up virtually all the oxygen in the nation's capital.
We鈥檙e referring, of course, to the adultery scandal involving former CIA Director David Petraeus and his biographer, Paula Broadwell 鈥撀燼 mess that has now expanded to ensnare other officials, with the discovery of a trove of apparently inappropriate e-mails between Gen. John Allen, the top US commander in Afghanistan, and another woman, Jill Kelley, who was also on the receiving end of threatening e-mails from Ms. Broadwell.
It has all played out like a real-life episode of 鈥淗omeland,鈥 Showtime鈥檚 popular CIA drama. As New York Rep. Peter King (R) commented in a recent television interview: 鈥淚t has the elements, in some ways, of a Hollywood movie, or a trashy novel.鈥
And naturally, it鈥檚 the kind of story the chattering class simply cannot resist. That鈥檚 primarily because it involves sex, but also because there鈥檚 a suspicious timeline (who knew what when) involved. Most important, because of the critical nature of Mr. Petraeus's and General Allen鈥檚 positions, it has raised real questions about whether national security might have been put at risk 鈥 or, at least, whether these high-level officials were unduly distracted from their extremely important, taxpayer-funded jobs.
The scandal has created a big, unexpected problem for the president, who now has to scramble to fill two top personnel gaps on his national security team.
But there may be one silver lining: It is, so far, allowing the fiscal cliff maneuverings to proceed with only a fraction of the attention they would otherwise have received. And that may ultimately be more conducive to getting a deal.
As The New York Times鈥檚 David Brooks : 鈥淭he liberal left wing, like the Tea Party types, has an incentive to build television ratings by fulminating against their foes. But President Obama and John Boehner have an incentive to create a low-decibel businesslike atmosphere. The opinion-entertainment complex longs for the war track. The practitioners should long for the deal-making track.鈥
At the moment, this so-called 鈥渙pinion-entertainment complex鈥 is currently getting all its entertainment needs (and more) supplied by reports of thousands of apparently inappropriate e-mails sent between Allen and Ms. Kelley, as well as an unnamed FBI agent who was removed from the case for sending shirtless photos of himself to Kelley, and new details on how Petraeus and Broadwell tried to hide their own communications by using a pseudonymous Gmail account in which they drafted, but never sent, racy emails to each other.
And that giant distraction may, in fact, be providing both sides in the fiscal cliff negotiations with an unexpected respite from the spotlight. The issue's not being ignored, of course, and it will likely gain more attention toward the week's end, as Obama and congressional leaders actually sit down together. But for now, the fiscal cliff story is on the back-burner 鈥 and the absence of a media feeding frenzy surrounding the negotiations may be the best thing going for those who hope a deal will actually get done.