As Ohio tilts right, governor鈥檚 moderate image becomes liability
Loading...
| Toledo, Ohio
The school closures, stay-at-home mandates, and curfews that Ohio Republican Gov. Mike DeWine imposed early in the pandemic still infuriate Donald Trump鈥檚 most loyal supporters. His dismissal of the former president鈥檚聽stolen election lie聽and criticism that Mr. Trump聽鈥減oured gas on the fire鈥澛燽efore the U.S. Capitol riot put him at odds with many GOP voters.
But that may not be enough to topple Mr. DeWine in the state鈥檚 upcoming May 3 primary.
Despite some notable splits with Mr. Trump, he is entering the final stretch of the campaign in a strong position to win the GOP鈥檚 nomination for another four-year term. He鈥檚 facing challenges from three lesser-known conservatives who could essentially split the far-right faithful, with Mr. DeWine potentially emerging as a Republican who crossed Mr. Trump鈥檚 base and managed to survive.
鈥淲hatever happens in the election happens, but this was a crucial time in our history,鈥 Mr. DeWine said in an interview, referring to his management of the pandemic.
The dynamics harken back to an era when Ohio prized middle-of-the-road candidates, making it a bellwether for presidential elections for decades. But that reputation for moderation eroded under Mr. Trump, who won the state in the 2016 and 2020 campaigns. The higher-profile race for an open U.S. Senate seat is perhaps more reflective of Ohio鈥檚 rightward shift as candidates have spent months聽trying to out-Trump one another聽as they seek his coveted endorsement.
So far, the former president has stayed quiet in the governor鈥檚 race, a credit to Mr. DeWine鈥檚 ability to walk a fine line of expressing support for Mr. Trump while also keeping him at a distance. Despite their different approach to the pandemic, which Mr. Trump sought to minimize, there was only one hint of a genuine rift between the two men.
That was when Mr. DeWine suggested in November 2020 that it was time for Mr. Trump to acknowledge that Joe Biden had won the White House. Mr. Trump鈥檚 response was a聽tweet wondering who would challenge Mr. DeWine聽in this year鈥檚 primary. 鈥淲ill be hotly contested!鈥 Mr. Trump predicted.
Former U.S. Rep. Jim Renacci, who served four terms in Congress, was thought to be Mr. DeWine鈥檚 biggest threat, especially if he could win an endorsement from Mr. Trump after getting his backing four years ago in a failed U.S. Senate bid. But some recent polls show Mr. Renacci splitting the anti-DeWine vote with Joe Blystone, a farmer who jumped in the race early and built a following in rural Ohio.
Much of the frustration toward Mr. DeWine has bubbled up in Republican-dominated rural counties where mask mandates and school shutdowns were met with resistance. Those areas hold the fewest votes yet carry significant weight because Republicans often pile up big enough margins to negate the strong Democratic turnout in the state鈥檚 big cities.
鈥淭hey say in politics people forget things. Down here they haven鈥檛 forgotten,鈥 said Dennis Cooper, a member of the Clermont County Republican Party, which overwhelmingly endorsed Mr. Renacci over Mr. DeWine earlier this year. 鈥淚t wasn鈥檛 just one thing. It was one thing on top of another that made no sense.鈥
Still, Mr. DeWine has a huge fundraising advantage and a network of supporters built from a political career spanning more than 40 years. Both are why more prominent Republicans in the state decided against challenging him even as dissatisfaction grew.
Ryan Stubenrauch, a former DeWine policy adviser who鈥檚 now a GOP consultant, thinks the anger is coming from a vocal minority.
鈥淭here鈥檚 a whole lot of people mad at a lot of things. The last two years have been really rough on people,鈥 he said. 鈥淚 don鈥檛 know if the party has changed or all of our politics have shifted over the last two years.鈥
One thing that hasn鈥檛 changed, he said, is Mr. DeWine. 鈥淗e values life just about over everything,鈥 Mr. Stubenrauch said.
He鈥檚 an old-school conservative who just months into his first term as governor signed into law what at the time was one of the聽most stringent abortion restrictions聽in the nation.
Mr. DeWine has leaned on his pro-life stance to explain why that also includes protecting people from COVID-19. He was聽widely praised early in 2020聽for not downplaying the pandemic when he became the first governor to shut down schools statewide.
But the mood soured among Republicans who quickly tired of mask mandates and health orders that closed many small businesses but allowed large retailers to remain open. They saw him putting in restrictions that ran counter to what they were hearing from Mr. Trump and conservative governors such as Ron DeSantis in Florida and South Dakota鈥檚 Kristi Noem.
A hostile state Legislature dominated by Mr. DeWine鈥檚 own party聽overrode his veto聽of a bill weakening the governor鈥檚 ability to respond to public health emergencies.
Mr. Renacci said Mr. DeWine prioritized 鈥渇ear over freedom.鈥
Some conservatives have vowed never to vote for Mr. DeWine again, according to a handful of county GOP chairs, even if that means sitting out in November.
The winner of the Republican primary will face the Democratic nominee, either former Cincinnati Mayor John Cranley or ex-Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley.
鈥淭hey鈥檙e not going to vote again for someone who has disappointed them and not represented them well,鈥 said Shelby County Republican Chairwoman Theresa Kerg. 鈥淚 think people are frustrated and tired of just accepting whoever is given to them.鈥
This story was reported by The Associated Press.聽Associated Press writer Julie Carr Smyth in Columbus, Ohio, contributed to this report.