海角大神

The Trump presidency at times can look like a somewhat chaotic pingpong match, with head-snapping moves and counter-moves. Often it鈥檚 President Donald Trump himself standing at both ends of the table.

For anybody watching 鈥� the public, the press, world leaders, even his own aides 鈥� it is a performance that can be both riveting and exasperating. And it brings to mind advice a sympathetic observer of President Trump聽聽before he was elected: 鈥淭ake him seriously, not literally.鈥澛�

Another variation on the theme goes like this: 鈥淔ollow the signal, not the noise.鈥� In other words, don鈥檛 be distracted by trivia. Focus on what鈥檚 important. But after one of the most volatile weeks of the Trump presidency to date 鈥� with policy flip-flops, contradictory signals, market gyrations, and provocative assertions 鈥� separating the signal from the noise can be well-nigh impossible.聽

Sometimes the noise is part of the signal, both allies and critics of President Trump say. When Mr. Trump seemed to equate Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell and Chinese President Xi Jinping, wondering in a聽聽鈥渨ho is our bigger enemy,鈥� he wasn鈥檛 meant to be taken literally, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said on 鈥淔ox News Sunday.鈥�

Mr. Trump himself asserted Sunday from the Group of Seven meeting of world leaders in France, 鈥渨e鈥檙e getting along very well with China right now.鈥� But on Mr. Powell, a Trump appointee who is now a frequent Trump target over interest rates, the president offered no such assurances. When asked over the weekend if he wanted the Fed chair to resign, the president said, 鈥渋f he did, I wouldn鈥檛 stop him.鈥� But even if Mr. Powell sticks it out, at the very least Mr. Trump has signaled to his supporters that he鈥檚 鈥渙n the case鈥� to lower interest rates, despite the Fed鈥檚 independent function.

At heart, Mr. Trump鈥檚 goal is to win reelection, and 鈥渉e wants to make sure there鈥檚 no recession,鈥� says a Republican strategist close to the White House. 鈥淗e also wants to keep Democrats from manufacturing a recession in voters鈥� minds.鈥澛�

Thus, the president鈥檚 intensive messaging about the U.S. economy, and efforts to show he鈥檒l do whatever it takes to fuel growth, keep unemployment low, and keep the markets strong. Never mind the competing narrative of his trade war with China, in which escalating tariffs threaten to create the very impact he鈥檚 trying to avoid.聽

Last Friday, the Dow dropped more than 600 points as the trade war intensified. On Monday, after Mr. Trump said that China wanted to return to the negotiating table, the Dow rallied. When asked Monday at the G7 why he treats President Xi as an enemy one day and a friend the next, Mr. Trump acknowledged that his whipsaw routine is intentional.聽聽

鈥淪orry, it's the way I negotiate,鈥� said the former real estate developer. 鈥淚t鈥檚 done very well for me over the years, and it鈥檚 doing even better for the country.鈥�

Keeping multiple story lines going simultaneously is another Trump technique, with some so far out of left field they are impossible to ignore. Exhibit A was last week鈥檚 story that he wanted to聽buy Greenland 鈥� and then canceling a trip to Copenhagen after the Danish prime minister told him the idea was 鈥渁bsurd.鈥�

It was Trump at his 鈥渟hiny object鈥� best, throwing out a seemingly outlandish idea and then holding media attention in his thrall until the story had played out.聽

鈥淒onald Trump is a master of deflection,鈥� says Kathleen Hall Jamieson, director of the Annenberg Public Policy Center at the University of Pennsylvania.

The deflection comes, she adds, when there鈥檚 news that goes against his interests 鈥� and in this case, it was stories that suggested the economy may be heading into recession.聽

鈥淵ou know that recession is on his mind, because into this bizarre news agenda of the last week, he continues to intrude things that are relevant to a recession, if only to dismiss them,鈥� such as his short-lived suggestion he might try to cut the payroll tax, says Ms. Jamieson.聽

Ultimately, the 鈥渘oise鈥� serves to deflect attention not just from bad news but also controversial moves. Last week, when Mr. Trump had the world talking about his supposed effort to buy Greenland, other news items came and went with much less flash.聽

One was the聽聽of a regulation that would allow the US government to detain indefinitely migrants who cross illegally into the U.S., an effort to change a decades-old rule that governs how migrant children are treated. Another important story that came and went centered on how California has聽聽Mr. Trump鈥檚 effort to roll back auto emissions standards.

Ultimately, it鈥檚 all about control, says former Republican National Committee chairman Michael Steele.

鈥淗e鈥檚 creating bright new shiny objects to make the press manic and to largely confuse the American people as to what鈥檚 real and what isn鈥檛,鈥� says Mr. Steele, a Trump critic.聽

Mr. Trump is also effectively his own press secretary. He speaks regularly to reporters 鈥� often from the south lawn of the White House as he鈥檚 heading out of town, Marine One sitting nearby with its engines running, creating noise and fumes.聽

His 35-minute performance last Wednesday was classic. Reporters tossed out questions, and Mr. Trump could take his choice, addressing the economy, Democrats and Israel, racial politics, Greenland, background checks, China trade. On dealing with China, he looked skyward and declared, 鈥淚 am the chosen one,鈥� a line that sent critics into paroxysms over a supposed 鈥淢essiah complex.鈥澛�

Mr. Trump later said he was 鈥渏ust having fun,鈥� but intentionally or not, another shiny object was born.聽

To Mr. Steele, it鈥檚 all part of the performative nature of the Trump presidency. 鈥淵ou have a reality TV talk show host sitting in the White House who treats his job as if it鈥檚 just another episode,鈥� he says. 鈥淭here鈥檚 nothing serious going on here.鈥�

The Trump ally, who defends the administration on cable news, disagrees. 鈥淗e may ramble, but he鈥檚 driving home a real point: He鈥檚 delivering on his promises.鈥�