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Trump fires FBI Director James Comey: Three key questions

What are the relevant questions in the wake of this major news event? 

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(AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)
Then-FBI Director James Comey testifies on Capitol Hill in Washington, before a Senate Judiciary Committee hearing on May 3. President Trump abruptly fired Comey on May 9, ousting the nation's top law enforcement official.

President Trump鈥檚聽Tuesday聽evening dismissal of FBI Director James Comey has shocked and stirred official Washington like nothing else so far in the developing Trump era.

Mr. Trump has broken many US political norms in his march to the White House. This move shattered another 鈥 that it鈥檚 politically dangerous to exert direct control over somebody that鈥檚 investigating you.

Now Republicans and Democrats alike are uneasily awaiting days of coming drama over the FBI issue. The effect of the move will ultimately be determined by the answers to some crucial underlying questions:

Why did the president do it?聽The White House insists that Mr. Comey was ousted due to his missteps in handling the investigation into Hillary Clinton鈥檚 emails. But Trump could have fired the FBI chief on his first day in office. It鈥檚 likely that he benefited politically from those missteps. Meanwhile, Trump鈥檚 own tweets and media reports indicate he remains furious over the FBI鈥檚 investigation of his campaign鈥檚 link to Russia.聽He wants the bureau to focus intently on White House leaks, not ex-national security adviser Michael Flynn鈥檚 Russian communications.

Who will the White House nominate to replace Comey? In the current uproar, it seems almost impossible that Trump would nominate a personal supporter or crony such as former New York Mayor Rudolph Giuliani as the next FBI head. It would be much more prudent to pick someone who is beyond reproach and independent to replace Comey, so as to quiet concerns about the direction of the Russia investigation. But Trump鈥檚 unpredictability is well established. If nothing else, his FBI nominee will be an indication of how far he鈥檚 willing to go to defy Washington鈥檚 expectations.

Will the Russia probes proceed?聽Trump has long denounced the Russia investigations in Congress and the FBI as 鈥渇ake news.鈥 He鈥檚 insisted there鈥檚 no proof of collusion between his campaign and Russian interests. But the probes are interested in many levels of connection, of course, from possible inadvertent contact between low-level aides and Russian spies, to alleged purposeful communications of intent from then-incoming NSA chief Flynn and others. If the FBI鈥檚 investigation is changed or derailed in the wake of Comey鈥檚 firing, the reaction from Democrats (and some Republicans) would be nuclear. Whether the Comey firing further slows the parallel probes of the House and Senate Intelligence Committees remains crucial as well.

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