Has trade battle helped Liz Warren don the mantle of Ted Kennedy?
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| Washington
Update: This story was updated at 9:32 p.m.
With the Senate passage of "fast track" trade negotiating authority Friday, Sen. Elizabeth Warren looks to have lost this round in her battle against the president's pursuit of a historic trade deal with Pacific-rim nations.
But don't count it as a loss for the Democratic senator from Massachusetts, who has become a bullhorn for the left, arguing that the president鈥檚 trade agenda is bad for the working class. If anything, her fight has solidified her standing among progressives, with some likening her to the late Sen. Edward Kennedy 鈥 聽the liberal lion from the Bay State.
Senator Warren鈥檚 roar has echoed across the nation in recent weeks, as she rebutted President Obama鈥檚 comment on聽April 20聽that she was 鈥渨rong鈥 on trade. On Monday, Warren released a聽聽documenting decades of failure to enforce labor standards in 鈥渘ew-and-improved鈥 free trade agreements. She did not spare Mr. Obama, who the next day disputed the criticism with his own聽聽on enforcement of free trade, which he says promotes economic growth and jobs.
So, is a defeat in the Senate 鈥 which was expected to pass fast track anyway 鈥 a setback for Warren?聽
鈥淭hat isn鈥檛 the test,鈥 says Rep. Sander Levin (D) of Michigan, who has been a leader against fast track in the House, where a much tougher battle awaits the president. 鈥淎ll along, there鈥檚 been a need to talk about what [the Pacific trade deal] is all about.鈥 Warren, he adds, 鈥渉elped focus on the issues.鈥
She sure did, in speeches, media interviews, tweets, legislation, remarks on the Senate floor, and in a defiant union rally on the Capitol grounds last month.
The trade fight plays perfectly to the senator鈥檚 strengths as a spry, slingshot-wielding warrior taking on big corporations and big banks. Though she did not win the trade battle in the Senate, her focus on the potential impacts for working-class Americans has only cemented her status as聽as a champion for consumers and workers.
True, Warren 鈥渄idn鈥檛 obstruct in the end, but she certainly caused political debate and problems that the president was hoping to avoid,鈥 says Julian Zelizer, professor of history and public affairs at Princeton University in New Jersey.
Indeed, the Senate鈥檚 anti-fast-track wing, led by Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) of Ohio in the Finance Committee where the trade legislation was hatched, temporarily blocked the trade package last week. But the bill passed Friday, 62 to 37.
As the public face against the trade bill, Warren has focused like a laser on three main criticisms: First, that terms of the Pacific trade deal, which is still being negotiated between the administration and 11 nations, is 鈥渟ecret鈥 to the public; second, that panels to resolve trade disputes can be used to overturn a nation鈥檚 regulations; and third, that financial regulations in the United States could be at risk under a future GOP president invoking fast track, which allows Congress only an up-or-down vote on a final trade deal 鈥 not the ability to amend it.
Obama said Warren鈥檚 arguments 鈥渄on鈥檛 stand the test of scrutiny,鈥 but the former Harvard law professor is unfazed by the criticism from the Oval Office. 鈥淔or me, this is not personal. For me, this is about protecting American workers,鈥 the senator said in聽聽with Bloomberg TV聽on Monday. 鈥淟ook, this is basically what I have worked on all my life, what's been happening to America's middle class,鈥 she said.
It may surprise some, but Warren was a registered Republican as late as 1996, according to the National Journal. Her encounter with struggling families during research into bankruptcy changed her vision, she has said. An expert in bankruptcy law and consumer issues, she testified before Congress, churned out writings, and appeared on talk shows.
Warren was already warning against big banks and financial institutions before the Wall Street crash of 2008, which launched her to liberal stardom. She was named to direct a congressionally appointed panel to oversee the $700 billion bank bailout. The Obama administration took her on as an assistant to the president and special adviser to the Treasury secretary.
She lacerated the financial industry, and was blocked by Republicans from leading the new聽Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which she helped to design under the "Dodd-Frank" law. Instead,聽she ran for the Senate against incumbent Scott Brown (R), handily beating him in 2012. She was helped by a $42 million war chest and is a fundraising powerhouse, much sought-after during last year鈥檚 Senate races.
After the election, minority leader Harry Reid (D) of Nevada, created a new leadership position just for her so she could spread her policy message.
While progressives are still hoping to draft Warren for 2016, it鈥檚 clear she鈥檚 not interested. If they don鈥檛 believe her many protestations, they should take the trade crusade as another "no."
Professor Zelizer鈥檚 take on Warren is that she sees herself as 鈥淭ed-Kennedy-like,鈥 impacting public debate, and not just Senate debate.聽鈥淚 think that鈥檚 what she wants to do as a senator. She鈥檚 done it on financial regulations, with consumer protection, and now she鈥檚 done it with the issue of trade.鈥
She鈥檚 already had an impact on Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, pushing her leftward, observers say. The former secretary of State has sought Warren鈥檚 views in private meetings. In a聽聽for Time last month, Mrs. Clinton praised the liberal icon for picking up 鈥淭ed Kennedy鈥檚 mantle.鈥
But that hasn鈥檛 stopped Warren from publicly finding fault with Clinton. She urged the candidate to get 鈥渃learer鈥 on trade 鈥 a subject which the former first lady has skirted. And last year, Warren deep-sixed Obama鈥檚 nominee for undersecretary of the Treasury,聽Antonio Weiss, because he had been a senior investment banker at Lazard, the financial advice and management firm.聽In January, he withdrew his name from consideration.
Warren has mastered the art of the fight, for sure, but to wear Kennedy鈥檚 mantle, she would have to master the art of the deal, says Jennifer Duffy, of the independent Cook Political Report.
鈥淭his is what the Senate increasingly lacks. It lacks somebody like Kennedy who could find the deal that didn鈥檛 sacrifice his principles,鈥 said Ms. Duffy. 鈥淚 don鈥檛 think she has any interest in crafting compromises.鈥
Indeed, Warren's now carrying the fight to the House, where according to Congressman Levin, she has had 鈥渃onsiderable back and forth鈥 on trade issues. The Washington Post reports that she has been lobbying junior members of the Massachusetts delegation to vote against 鈥済rease the skids鈥 trade authority, as she calls fast track.
Levin describes the House vote on the trade package as still 鈥渦p in the air.鈥 A contingent of Republicans opposes the package on the grounds that it gives the president too much power, and because it includes assistance for laid-off workers affected by trade. Most Democrats oppose it as a jobs killer, as does the umbrella organization for labor unions, the AFL-CIO.
Rep. Charles Rangel (D) of New York, who works with Levin on trade, describes Warren as 鈥渧ery vocal,鈥 a relatively new politician who is 鈥渆njoying every bit of the spotlight.鈥 But she isn鈥檛 changing minds. 鈥淪he鈥檚 reinforcing those that already agree with her, but I don鈥檛 think she鈥檚 changing a vote.鈥
Which gets back to the Kennedy question. In the vacuum left behind by liberal senators, Warren is the left鈥檚 darling. Her stand on trade 鈥渃ements her role as sort of the leader of the progressive Democrats,鈥 says Duffy. 鈥淪he was the person out there fighting, and part of the party needs somebody out there fighting.鈥
But Kennedy could also change minds. He could build bipartisan bridges 鈥 on immigration, on education, on a host of major issues. That part of Warren, a freshman senator, has yet to be developed.聽
鈥淧erhaps for her鈥 as Duffy says, 鈥済iving it voice is enough.鈥