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Romney tax returns: Could Reid鈥檚 unsubstantiated attack hurt Democrats?

Harry Reid, the Senate's top Democrat, says Mitt Romney paid no income tax for 10 years. His source, he says, is a Bain Capital investor. But he won't say who. The tactic could backfire.

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Christopher DeVargas/Las Vegas Sun/Reuters
U.S. Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney points to someone in the audience as he is greeted with cheers and applause at a campaign event held at Sierra Truck Body & Equipment, in North Las Vegas, Nevada Friday.

Senate Democratic leader Harry Reid is unabashed as he makes a serious, unsubstantiated claim about Mitt Romney: that the Republican candidate for president did not pay any taxes for 10 years. That, the Nevada senator says, is why Mr. Romney will not release tax returns beyond those he has already made public, his 2010 return and an estimate for 2011.

Senator Reid, in fact, is so certain he鈥檚 doing the right thing that he repeated his charge on the floor of the Senate Thursday night, and put it out in a statement. Reid鈥檚 assertion first appeared in a Huffington Post interview published on July 31. He said that about a month ago, he got a call from an investor in Romney鈥檚 former company, Bain Capital, who claimed that Romney did not pay taxes for 10 years.

鈥淣ow, do I know that that鈥檚 true? Well, I鈥檓 not certain,鈥 Reid told HuffPo. 鈥淏ut obviously he can鈥檛 release those tax returns. How would it look?鈥

In his Thursday evening statement, Reid repeated his charge, citing 鈥渁n extremely credible source,鈥 but again did not name the source. 聽

To anyone concerned about the state of political discourse, Reid鈥檚 charge is cause for alarm.

鈥淚t鈥檚 another example of our political leaders not backing up allegations about the opposite party or another candidate with the facts,鈥 says Carolyn Lukensmeyer, executive director of the National Institute for Civil Discourse at the University of Arizona, Tucson. 鈥淭he American public is really disgusted, and from some polls we鈥檝e done, even ashamed of our national leaders鈥 inability to solve problems.鈥

And it鈥檚 not that Republicans are angels. 鈥淲e could easily be having this conversation about some statement from a leader in the other party tearing down [President] Obama,鈥 Ms. Lukensmeyer says.

The likely upshot, she says, is that Americans become further alienated from the political process and just don鈥檛 vote.

But the campaigns are not in the business of driving up turnout in the name of civic participation. They just want one more vote than the opposition. If Reid鈥檚 tactic is perceived to be successful 鈥 Romney鈥檚 image remains poor and he loses in November 鈥 then chances are voters will be treated to more of same in the future.

Still, political analysts warn that Reid and the Democrats have to be cautious.

鈥淧eople like a fair game in certain ways,鈥 says Julian Zelizer, a professor of history and public policy at Princeton University. 鈥淚f there鈥檚 a perception that this is about innuendo, rumor, and character assassination, it can backfire.鈥

He cites Republican attacks on President Clinton in the 1990s, including impeachment, which ended up backfiring on the Republicans.

But Reid is a wily political operator 鈥 he almost miraculously won reelection in 2010 despite low job approval 鈥 so Romney & Co. can鈥檛 dismiss him lightly. In replying to Reid鈥檚 charge in an interview Thursday on Fox News, Romney showed rare pique in saying that Reid needs to 鈥減ut up or shut up鈥 with his allegations.

Some Democrats are giving Reid the benefit of the doubt.

鈥淲e know Harry Reid is one tough old boxer,鈥 says Peter Fenn, a Democratic communications strategist. 鈥淎nd you know, he鈥檚 not letting up. He clearly thinks he鈥檚 onto something here, or he wouldn鈥檛 be doing it.鈥

Watchdogs on political discourse aren鈥檛 buying it. Without the evidence, they say, Reid should stop what some are calling McCarthy-esque tactics.

鈥淲hat he said would not be admissible in court as evidence,鈥澛Kathleen Hall Jamieson, director of the University of Pennsylvania鈥檚 Annenberg Public Policy Center, told McClatchy Newspapers.

But in the court of politics, anything goes, it seems. Ever since Romney released some of his taxes in January 鈥 revealing that he had paid an effective rate of 13.9 percent in 2010, and also that he had accounts in Switzerland and the Cayman Islands 鈥 he has been dogged by requests for more. So far, nothing illegal has emerged from Romney鈥檚 financial disclosures. And it could be legally possible for him to have paid no tax in some years.

Romney鈥檚 spokeswoman, Andrea Saul, has denied that there was any year in which Romney paid zero in taxes. In July, Romney told the National Review he did not want to release more returns because he was 鈥渟imply not enthusiastic about giving [the Obama campaign] hundreds or thousands of more pages to pick through, distort, and lie about.鈥

Romney鈥檚 late father, former Michigan Gov. George Romney, began the tradition of presidential candidates releasing tax returns, when he put forth 12 years鈥 worth in 1968. President Obama has released his tax returns back to 2000. In 2008, Republican nominee John McCain released only two years of returns. But he did not face pressure to release more, likely because he was running as a longtime senator and Vietnam War hero, not on a record in business.

Reid himself has not publicly released his tax returns, but his office says he is not required. He鈥檚 not running for president.

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