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Obama maintains trademark calm amid rising shutdown storm

As the government shutdown deadline approaches, President Obama has remained calm and on-message.

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Charles Dharapak / AP
President Obama speaks to reporters at the White House after meeting with Vice President Joe Biden, House Speaker John Boehner, and Senate majority leader Harry Reid about the budget and possible government shutdown, Wednesday, April 6.

When President Obama walked into the White House briefing room a little before 11 p.m. Wednesday, he had the air of a disappointed father who couldn鈥檛 get his kids to stop fighting.

House Speaker John Boehner (R) of Ohio, Senate majority leader Harry Reid (D) of Nevada, Mr. Obama, and Vice President Biden 鈥 and members of their respective staffs 鈥 had failed to break the budget impasse. The clock was ticking toward a government shutdown, which will begin at 12:01 Saturday morning if no deal is reached.

But even as Obama warned that a shutdown would have 鈥渞eal consequences for real people鈥 鈥 citing an example from the evening news of a man from Kentucky desperate for his tax refund 鈥 the president maintained his trademark measured tone. No chest-beating, no dire rhetoric. Classic Obama, yes. But also a recognition that this showdown over funding the federal government for the rest of the 2011 fiscal year is merely spring training for the big show ahead: the looming vote in Congress to raise the federal debt limit.

鈥淥bama鈥檚 a guy who takes [presidential scholar] Richard Neustadt鈥檚 advice seriously: 鈥楥onsider tomorrow,鈥 鈥 says Bruce Buchanan, a political scientist at the University of Texas at Austin.

And there are several layers of 鈥渢omorrow鈥 at play as he navigates his new world of divided government. There鈥檚 the current impasse, which analysts seem to think should be resolved fairly quickly, if not by Saturday morning. Then there鈥檚 the debt ceiling, which Congress will have to raise in the next few months to prevent a government default.

Another dimension for Obama is political. 鈥淗e needs to attract independents in the next election, and he knows that dire rhetoric doesn鈥檛 appeal to independents,鈥 says Mr. Buchanan.

Still, some analysts find Obama鈥檚 approach curious, as he continues to travel and emphasize other issues, such as clean energy, even as the government approaches shutdown 鈥 an event that could sideline 800,000 federal workers and disrupt the fragile economic recovery.

鈥淭here鈥檚 an element of theater in this,鈥 says Marc Landy, a political scientist at Boston College. 鈥淏ut Obama is the wizard of nonchalance. There鈥檚 something to be said for saying, 鈥業鈥檓 going to give every nerve to this struggle, and if the Republicans don鈥檛 do likewise, it鈥檚 on them.鈥 鈥

Peter Fenn, a Democratic strategist, leans more toward the 鈥渘o sweat鈥 side of things 鈥 and sees evidence of a learning curve in Obama鈥檚 performance after two years in office.

鈥淗e knew the odds were it would come down to the bitter end,鈥 says Mr. Fenn. 鈥淓veryone鈥檚 been saying, 鈥榃here was he three weeks ago?鈥 The point is, we would still be right where we are now, regardless of what Obama did three weeks ago.鈥

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