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Tea Party insurgency marches into key states

But will Tea Party protest energy help or hobble the Republican Party? They're challenging some GOP candidates and could split the vote in those races.

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David Becker/AP
"Tea Party" protesters at an August rally in Las Vegas, Nev. The rally was one of a series leading up to rallies last month on September 12 in the nation's capital.

Begun as a loosely affiliated groundswell of Constitution-waving protesters in tri-cornered hats, the Tea Party movement is now starting to rock the political establishment in key arenas.

The growing numbers of Americans coming out to the Tax Day Tea Party, the Fourth of July Tea Parties, and then the 9/12 Tea Party march on Washington are going back to their home districts and keeping up -- even intensifying -- the fight for smaller government and more transparency on spending and taxation.

In places like New York, Florida, California, New Hampshire, and Pennsylvania, local, state, congressional, and gubernatorial seats are suddenly being tugged to-and-fro by the new and unruly political force.

The upshot?

The street energy is welcome for an otherwise moribund Republican party looking for new moorings amid a tumultuous electorate.

The downside is that early examples shows that, in the short run, Tea Party-sponsored candidates could make it more difficult for Republicans as they -- Ross Perot-like -- split races as they target both 鈥渢ax and spend鈥 Democrats and those they like to call RINOs, or 鈥淩epublicans-in-name-only.鈥

鈥淚n the Republican primaries, especially, the Tea Party movement could be a very significant force鈥 -- and not always in the Republicans' favor -- says Charles Franklin, a political science professor at the University of Wisconsin, in Madison.

In New York鈥檚 23rd congressional district, Democrats may ultimately thank Tea Party conservatives for backing businessman Doug Hoffman, a Conservative Party candidate, in a three-way congressional race in November -- the sole national race this year.

Mr. Hoffman鈥檚 supporters have pulled voters away from the Republican moderate, Dede Scozzafava, leaving the Democrat, Bill Hoffman, with the lead, according to polls. The 鈥淣Y-23鈥 battle, as it鈥檚 called, is already causing rifts in the Republican party, with Tea Party activists booing former House Speaker Newt Gingrich for backing Scozzafava.

In Florida, former Republican House Speaker Marco Rubio is courting Tea Party activists in a primary challenge to Gov. Charlie Crist, whom Tea Partiers see as a 鈥淛udas鈥 for supporting the $787 billion stimulus package signed into law by President Obama in February.

In a perhaps unwelcome strike for Republicans near the President鈥檚 home turf, Tea Party activists have turned against the bid by Illinois Rep. Mark Kirk, a Republican, to seek Obama鈥檚 former Senate seat, citing Mr. Kirk鈥檚 support for a climate change bill.

Other Tea Party targets for scorn include Senate-seekers such as Republican up-and-comer Kelly Ayotte in New Hampshire, Rep. Mike Castle in Delaware, and former Rep. Rob Simmons in Connecticut. Tea Party activists also could play a role in Republican primary matchups in Texas (Rick Perry versus Kay Bailey Hutchinson) and in Pennsylvania (Pat Toomey versus Arlen Specter).

鈥淭he American people are finally standing up and saying no to political correctness and no to the hijacking of our freedoms, liberty and our culture,鈥 says Tea Party activist Lloyd Marcus. 鈥淚t鈥檚 not about Republican or Democrat any more. It鈥檚 about character and principle.鈥

In Washington, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky and House Minority Leader John Boehner have both egged on the Tea Party activists, trying to 鈥渁lign the GOP with the protesters鈥 frustrations,鈥 says the Wall Street Journal.

鈥淚t鈥檚 really interesting to see how the Republican party and its various entities try to sort of harness [the Tea Party movement],鈥 says Andrew Moylan, government affairs manager at the National Taxpayers Union, which helped organize the 9/12 Tea Party protests in Washington. 鈥淭he fact is it鈥檚 really grown and become an incredible force that we鈥檙e only now beginning to see the practical effects of.鈥

To be sure, some, moderate Republicans have started calling out their Tea Party wing (see Monitor writer Brad Knickerbocker鈥檚 take ) -- epitomized by Fox NewsGlenn Beck and former vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin -- as ultimately deleterious to the party鈥檚 chances to grab hold of key independent voters in swing states.

Risking the alienation of divided partisans is commonplace, history shows, when a particular party has suffered heavy defeat

鈥淭he people that get knocked off are your moderates and you become smaller and more ideologically extreme,鈥 says Peter Beinart, a senior fellow at the liberal New America Foundation and a Daily Beast columnist. 鈥淭he Republicans are still early on in that process. They鈥檙e in a ditch, but they haven鈥檛 stopped digging yet.鈥

Pollsters say many Democratic lawmakers -- especially in blue states where Democrats made dramatic inroads last year -- are likely to be vulnerable in next year鈥檚 elections because of the growing deficit, unemployment, healthcare votes, and other hot-button issues facing the country.

Yet even six months ago, few political observers could have intuited the prairie fire speed and ferocity of the Tea Party movement -- or its already considerable impact on the national political debate and looming political races.

The 9/12 event in Washington, in particular, 鈥渨as a landmark event,鈥 says Mr. Moylan at the NTU.

Like the 1963 civil rights march on Washington, he says, 鈥淗ere was this outgrowth of frustration about policies in the country and problems that were going on, a huge outpouring of people, and then they translated it into action. That鈥檚 going to be the measure of the Tea Party movement: How it can translate [protests] into action.鈥

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