海角大神

Through weeks of high tension on the Korean Peninsula, a clearer picture is beginning to emerge of North Korea鈥檚 young dictator, whom top US military officials describe as 鈥渧ery different鈥� from his father.

Those differences are in turn driving the Pentagon to brace for a 鈥渉eightened state of readiness鈥� 鈥� a period of tension that may last for some time, according to the nation鈥檚 top military officer.

鈥淲e鈥檙e not into cyclical provocations any longer 鈥� we鈥檙e in a period of prolonged provocation,鈥� says Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Martin Dempsey.

On the heels of a three-hour meeting with the commander of US forces in Korea Saturday en route to China, Dempsey says that the question now becomes, 鈥淗ow long is that sustainable?鈥�

In Beijing this week, Dempsey is expected to press his Chinese counterparts to more robustly encourage North Korean leader Kim Jong-un to ratchet down his threats and think carefully about his next steps.

鈥淐hina鈥檚 got some clear interest in stability on their southern flank,鈥� Dempsey says. 鈥淲e have to have that conversation, and I鈥檓 looking forward to it.鈥澛�

Pyongyang has signaled in recent days that it may be willing to come to the negotiating table if the US military, say, gives up annual joint military exercises with South Korea, among other conditions.聽

That will not be happening, Dempsey said on the heels of a meeting with Gen. James Thurman, commander of US forces in South Korea. It was a meeting originally slated to take place in Washington earlier this month but was delayed so that Thurman could stay on the peninsula in an effort to calm tensions in the region.

鈥淚t鈥檚 our intention to continue鈥� to do the exercises, Dempsey says, 鈥渢he idea being that our sustained presence here is assuring to our allies.鈥澛�

How US policy will in turn drive Mr. Kim鈥檚 actions remains tough to predict, officials acknowledge.聽

鈥淲e have a picture of a leader who is very different from both his father and his grandfather,鈥� Dempsey says. 鈥淗e is, I think, less predictable.鈥�

This apparent fact has, in turn, spurred senior US officials to endeavor to ratchet down rhetoric in the region. 鈥淓veryone I talk to on our side is eager for us to avoid war,鈥� Dempsey says.

That said, he adds, 鈥淚t won鈥檛 surprise you to know that from our military perspective, the best way to avoid war is to prepare for it.鈥澛�

Last week came suggestions in the form of a New York Times op-ed by University of Texas professor of history Jeremi Suri that such preparation might include drawing up plans for a preemptive strike on North Korean missile sites.

These calls came on the heels of a Defense Intelligence Agency聽(DIA) report that North Korea has nuclear weapons capable of delivery by ballistic missiles.

Such intelligence 鈥渋s useful,鈥� Dempsey says, while pointing out that there remain differences of opinion on the matter within the intelligence community.聽

The DIA report 鈥渁ssesses with moderate confidence鈥� that the North has miniaturized nuclear weapons, but it also predicts that their 鈥渞eliability will be low.鈥澛�

Even as Kim whips his country into wartime footing, however, Dempsey says that he is not currently considering preemptive strikes on North Korea to destroy any missiles.

鈥淭here鈥檚 no end to the advice I get from the military experts,鈥� he says. 鈥淏ut that鈥檚 not a piece of advice I鈥檓 taking to heart at this time.鈥澛�