As Iran installs new leader, House could pass more sanctions. Right signal?
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| Washington
When Iran elected a moderate cleric to succeed the fiery Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as the country鈥檚 president last month, President Obama sought to encourage what some saw as an important political shift by calling for improved US-Iran relations.
Mr. Obama said the election of Hassan Rohani opened the way to 鈥渁 more serious, substantive鈥 relationship with Iran 鈥 interpreted widely as the president鈥檚 hope that the United States and Iran might add bilateral negotiations to international talks on Iran鈥檚 nuclear program.
But now that Mr. Rohani is about to take office as Iran鈥檚 president, some in Congress want to send a different signal to Tehran by approving a new round of sanctions aimed at further stifling the Iranian economy. Rohani is set to be inaugurated Sunday.
Which is the better approach for getting Iran to accept internationally verifiable limits on its nuclear program?
The House is expected to answer that question Wednesday by voting to slap tough new limits on Iran鈥檚 already heavily sanctioned oil industry, as well as on other sectors of the ailing Iranian economy.
Yet even though the House measure could not take effect until the Senate can act on its own version of the bill 鈥 probably in September 鈥 advocates of a more cooperative approach with the new Iranian leadership say the House vote is coming at the wrong time. They worry that any vote in the US for new sanctions would be received in Iran as a slammed door just as Rohani takes office 鈥 and would probably snuff out any hope of better US-Iran relations.
A House vote for new sanctions 鈥渨ill be seen as the first formal American response to Rohani鈥檚 victory,鈥 says Trita Parsi, president of the National Iranian American Council, a group that advocates improved relations with Iran. Sending such a signal now would be seized upon by Iran鈥檚 hard-liners to undercut Rohani鈥檚 stated desire for more cooperative engagement with the West, he says, and makes sense only 鈥渋f the objective is to prevent talks [between the US and Iran] from happening.鈥
For others, however, now is precisely the time 鈥 as Iran anticipates a return to talks on its nuclear program with the permanent members of the United Nations Security Council, plus Germany 鈥 to let Iran know that the US and the West are not going to let their guard down.
鈥淭he [Obama] administration must go into the next round of negotiations with significant, re-enhanced leverage,鈥 said Mark Dubowitz, executive director of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, in a recent conversation with reporters.
Advocates of tough new sanctions scoff at the notion that Rohani is a harbinger of a new 鈥渕oderation鈥 among Iran鈥檚 leadership 鈥 or that he (or the country鈥檚 supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei) has any intention of dialing back on Iran鈥檚 nuclear program. Western powers worry that the program is aimed not at delivering civilian nuclear energy, as Iran claims, but at building a nuclear weapon.
Rohani reinforced the skeptics of his moderation with his own postelection words when he flatly ruled out ending Iran鈥檚 uranium enrichment program 鈥 the Iranian nuclear activity that worries the West most. 鈥淎ll should know that the next government will not budge defending our inalienable rights,鈥 he said, adding that the days of any suspension of Iran鈥檚 program 鈥渁re behind us.鈥
For his part, Obama 鈥 who came into office as a new president in 2009 with an extended hand to Iran 鈥 has taken steps to signal a willingness to engage with Rohani. Last week the administration eased some sanctions on Iran, approving the export of some medical devices as part of an effort to ease restrictions on 鈥渓egitimate humanitarian trade.鈥
But Obama has also made it clear that his new tone does not extend to Iran鈥檚 nuclear program. Even as he hailed Rohani鈥檚 election in June, Obama insisted that the tough sanctions inhibiting Iran鈥檚 economy would not be eased 鈥渋n the absence of significant steps鈥 by Iran to ensure the world that it is not seeking to build a nuclear weapon.