Who is Carl Paladino?
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| New York
Call Carl Paladino, the Republican candidate for New York governor, 鈥渁n angry man.鈥
Mr. Paladino, an upstate real estate developer, spits out tough statements. In one of his campaign ads, he promises to 鈥渃lean out [the state capital of] Albany with a baseball bat.鈥 He wants to cut taxes by 10 percent within six months of taking office. And he would settle the controversy over the proposed Islamic center in lower Manhattan by having the state take over the property by eminent domain.
鈥淚 bring values, resiliency, a thick skin, and I鈥檓 not afraid to be confrontational,鈥 Paladino told The Buffalo News during a three-hour interview in April. 鈥淚 don鈥檛 remember anyone before bringing that to the table.鈥
But can that approach win in November?
Paladino does bring considerable funds to the table: He spent at least $3 million of his own money on the primary, says pollster Lee Miringoff of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion in Poughkeepsie, N.Y. And he has "tea party" support and a connection to the conservative wing of the Republican Party, and he brings legitimate outsider status to the race. 鈥淗e is someone to be reckoned with,鈥 Mr. Miringoff says.
However, Miringoff wonders if Paladino is 鈥渙utside the range of acceptability鈥 to the broader electorate, since elections are usually won by appealing to the 鈥渟oft center.鈥 There have been no recent polls showing how Paladino would do against state Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, the Democratic candidate, Miringoff says.
鈥淭he polls from the spring probably would not mean a whole lot right now,鈥 he says. 鈥淚t鈥檚 hard to tell what kind of bounce he鈥檒l get.鈥
Paladino certainly knows how to get attention. One of his campaign mailings 鈥 which told voters on the outside of the envelope that something smells in Albany 鈥 had a scent inside that made it stink like a landfill. Speaking of New York State Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver, he says, 鈥淎 fish rots from the head.鈥
Such pronouncements guarantee a lively fall campaign, says Doug Muzzio, a political commentator at Baruch College in New York. 鈥淭he entertainment value of the campaign just went up dramatically,鈥 he says. 鈥淵ou get at least one hand grenade a day with Carl.鈥
After he won, Paladino issued a call for debates with Mr. Cuomo. There have not been reports that Cuomo has replied to the challenge. But 鈥渢he Cuomo people must be salivating,鈥 Mr. Muzzio says.
Miringoff says he expects Cuomo鈥檚 surrogates to begin to fill in Paladino鈥檚 biography 鈥渋n ways he would not want done.鈥
According to the Buffalo paper, Paladino, who espouses family values, has a daughter with a former employee who is not his wife. Although he tells voters he is conservative, he had given money to Al Gore, Hillary Rodham Clinton, and Sen. Charles Schumer (D), the paper says. And as a landlord, he made a lot of money renting space to the state in Albany and using state tax incentives for his real estate empire.
Since he ran against Albany, Paladino is not likely to get much help from his own party, says Mr. Muzzio. 鈥淧aladino is a one-man show and will remain that,鈥 he predicts.
However, it鈥檚 not clear what the support of the party brings: For the primary, it supported former congressman Rick Lazio, who won only 37 percent of the vote.
Paladino is unknown to most voters, Miringoff points out. 鈥淎nd some states get won by people who are unknown,鈥 says the veteran pollster.