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Bars or schools? How nations rank education in pandemic priorities.

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Mark Lennihan/AP
A child runs across a sidewalk in front of New York's City Hall decorated with graffiti in favor of keeping open public schools, Nov. 19, 2020. Although closed since mid-November due to the pandemic, schools in New York are expected to reopen to some pre-kindergarten and elementary students on Dec. 7.

When New York City schools closed abruptly last month to in-person learning as COVID-19 positivity rates reached 3%, Caroline Goldrick was incredulous. On her street at the northern tip of Manhattan, her daughter鈥檚 elementary school doors were shuttered. Those of restaurants and gyms remained wide open.听

鈥淚t鈥檚 so backward. To be honest, when I stop and think about it, I almost start crying. I don鈥檛 get it. I don鈥檛 understand what the priority is here,鈥 says Ms. Goldrick, a theater teacher and mother to a first grader in the public school system.听

The daily commute is the opposite for Uwe Berlo in Berlin. After he or his wife escort the kids to school, they can鈥檛 pop into a cafe for coffee or meet up with friends for a leisurely restaurant brunch. As German officials have nervously watched the country鈥檚 COVID-19 case count tick up toward 25,000 per day in recent weeks 鈥 with a countrywide between 5% and 10% 鈥 their priorities in pandemic-management are clear. Restaurants, bars, and gyms have shuttered to fight the second wave, so that 2.8 million primary schoolchildren can remain in class learning.听

Why We Wrote This

If education is the foundation of a functioning society, how should it be prioritized in a pandemic? The U.S. and Germany offer a tale of two approaches, pointing to the influence of culture on decision-making.

鈥淭he risk of not going to school is much bigger,鈥 says Mr. Berlo, a crisis management business consultant in Berlin. 鈥淚 think we [as a country] are differentiating between what we can fix with money, and those things that can鈥檛 be fixed with money,鈥 he says. 鈥淧sychological problems can鈥檛 be fixed with money. It鈥檚 the right thing that schools are open.鈥

Annegret Hilse/Reuters
Students at Martin-Buber-Oberschule secondary school wear protective masks as school resumes following the autumn holidays in Berlin on Oct. 26, 2020.

Decisions whether to open or close schools, like so much else during the pandemic, are a moving target. Best practices are still evolving and schools shift course as the virus does.听

Yet as case counts rise across Europe and North America, many districts in the United States have done the opposite of Europe: They鈥檝e kept kids away from their classrooms since March 鈥 from Chicago to Los Angeles 鈥 even as nonessential businesses have stayed open. In Europe, where positivity rates in some countries far exceed the 3% threshold that originally sent New York City public school kids home, bars and indoor dining and other nonessential businesses have been re-shuttered to safeguard schools.听

Certainly, many of the same challenges affect school systems across the globe. Unions battle for better safety measures, while many teachers feel as though they have no choice but to return to class, even if they feel unsafe. Parents everywhere worry 鈥 both about keeping their kids out of school and about putting them in.

But the decision-making around how and where American schoolchildren will spend their days has been affected by political polarization and a distrust of authorities that have made it harder to find consensus on responding to the pandemic, including education policy.听A set of cultural values in the U.S. that emphasizes freedom and individual choice above all else has also undergirded decisions to open or close school. Whereas in Europe and Canada, the costs of rising inequality and a desire to keep social safety nets firmly in place have prompted authorities to听implore听society to do its job 鈥 by forgoing nonessential activities 鈥撎齮o help keep schools open.

鈥淒uring a crisis you have to ask yourself what is really important. On the question around reopening, do you open cinemas first or schools?鈥 says Andreas Schleicher, director for education and skills at the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in Paris. 鈥淭hese are values questions. Societies need to make tradeoffs between the present and the future, and they do that very differently.鈥

Still, some backtracking in the U.S. is happening. More Americans have started to push for schools to reopen 鈥 essentially asking states to shift priorities to improve conditions for doing this. New York City, which had opened with a hybrid model, only to close about two months later, announced earlier this week it听will return听some pre-kindergarten and elementary students to in-person learning starting on Dec. 7 and听听the 3% positivity threshold for closing.听Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Director Robert Redfield has said that schools can operate with 鈥渇ace to face learning鈥 and can do it 鈥渟afely and they can do it responsibly.鈥澨齋ome U.S. school districts have had to delay reopening plans due to surges in cases.听Rhode Island听听to limit bar seating and close bowling alleys for a few weeks, while offering grants to business owners and keeping schools running 鈥 more along the lines of what Europe and Canada have done.听

鈥淓ducation is a certified right鈥

Historically, the consequences of school closures can be long-lasting. A September OECD study estimated that students in grades 1 through 12 affected by closures in 2020 an average 3% lower income over their lifetimes.听

The most affected will be students who are most disadvantaged in the first place, says Harry Patrinos, practice manager at the World Bank鈥檚 education global practice. From the Spanish flu of 1918-1920 to World War II, losses have been traced decades later. 鈥淚 worry that the longterm impact is going to be huge,鈥 he says. 鈥淧ast crises like influenza of 1918 and other catastrophes had lifetime impacts.鈥

In March when the pandemic was declared, 1.6 billion children around the world were sent home as schools shuttered. It was during spring and summer, when nations turned to the task of planning and prioritizing and seeking to strengthen social trust through the process, that educational paths diverged.听

For Germany the goals were clear from the beginning 鈥 even if the path to reopening was not without emotion or debate.

鈥淓ducation is a certified right in Germany. We are an industrialized country and have relatively few natural resources, so we need professional workers who have a sensible education,鈥 says Norman Heise, the elected chairman of the Parents鈥 Committee in Berlin, which represents the families of about 330,000 schoolchildren in the capital city.

For a wealthy country, Germany has a low level of digitization in schools, with only a third of children having access to online learning, well below the OECD average of 54%. German schoolchildren鈥檚 access to computers is also the OECD benchmark.听

Wolfgang Rattay/Reuters
Teacher Eike Postler holds a tablet computer on which quarantined teacher Tobias Honnen is seen from his home office during a virtual English lesson at Alexander-Coppel-Gesamtschule school in Solingen, Germany, Nov. 17, 2020.

This, coupled with the government鈥檚 longtime focus on mitigating educational inequality, factored into the federal government-level decision to keep schools open. The heads of Germany鈥檚 16 states, who are responsible for delivering education, might disagree on the extent to which economies should be shut down, or the logistics of keeping schools open, but agree on the importance of getting kids into classrooms.

School closings potentially exacerbate all kinds of social problems for children, from experiencing more domestic violence to falling behind because they lack access to Wi-Fi or laptops. For some children, schools provide their only hot meal of the day, or a safe space to interact with adults outside the family. Concern that educational inequalities would widen even further is a major factor in German decision-making, says Guido K眉ssner, an educational consultant at the German online school Wilhelm von Humboldt.听Public school closures could drive parents with resources听to devise their own workarounds, including enrolling in private schools or employing tutors. 鈥淭here鈥檚 a real fear of 鈥榩rivatization,鈥欌 says Mr. K眉ssner.

What鈥檚 next in the U.S.?

In the U.S., there are few doubts that the听pandemic will accelerate privatization of education in the country 鈥 intensifying a debate that is deeply polarized there.听

Public education was a foundation of the nation from its inception, says Derek W. Black, professor of law at the University of South Carolina in his new book 鈥淪choolhouse Burning.鈥 The federal government underwrote public education and forced states to provide for it in their own constitutions 鈥 to guarantee and shield it from the political process.

Kathy Willens/AP
Two students wave goodbye to teachers and counselors at West Brooklyn Community High School in New York after attending an in-person blended learning session and hearing from the principal that the school would be closed until further notice due to rising cases of the coronavirus on Nov. 18, 2020.

But the ideals of an education for all have never been realized. A history of exclusion and segregation still manifests in stubborn racial and socioeconomic inequalities today, while the American localized approach leads to a patchwork of standards. And many believe the privatization of education 鈥 which has gathered force since the Ronald Reagan administration 鈥 has made the system more vulnerable during the pandemic, which will in turn accelerate the trend.听

鈥淭oday we talk about education as though it鈥檚 a commodity rather than a constitutional commitment. And now we are shrinking our obligation to it in ways we never have before,鈥 says Dr. Black. 鈥淲e talk about the importance of education but the implementation and reality of that commitment is far more difficult because the stock market and the unemployment rate rule America in a way that it doesn鈥檛 necessarily rule the rest of the world.鈥

The federal government has given school boards little guidance. And with misinformation surrounding the pandemic fairly common, distrust over how to respond hasinfluenced local districts and teachers unions. Initially, unions were behind some of the push to keep schools closed.听Even where state governors have prioritized school openings, the community spread of the virus makes that logistically tenuous.听

In New York City, where some schools are set to reopen Monday, parents are keenly aware the system could close back down at any moment. Some, like Ms. Goldrick, who opted to keep her daughter in virtual classes because she doesn鈥檛 trust the safety of sending her back, is now considering pulling her out altogether and homeschooling instead. 鈥淪he鈥檚 sitting in front of a screen for five hours a day, which is terrible,鈥 she says. 鈥淚t starts to affect her attitude towards school, which is something that鈥檚 really hard to watch.鈥

It鈥檚 not that the situation is seamless for parents and teachers anywhere, including Germany.听Silke Steltner, a public school teacher in the state of Schleswig-Holstein, uses a pseudonym because she鈥檚 gotten threats for speaking out against school reopenings. She says she has teacher friends who are high-risk or live with high-risk family members.听

鈥淲e teachers are being sacrificed for the economy,鈥 says Ms. Steltner. 鈥淚t鈥檚 more about the working population being able to continue working. So we are a bit like nannies.鈥澨

鈥淎re we doing this the right way?鈥

Yet despite those universal concerns, Mr. Schleicher of the OECD says collaboration, not confrontation, has led countries like Germany to functioning academic fall terms听while many places in the U.S. are still flailing.

The U.S. spends above the average of its peers in education but it neither values teachers enough 鈥 financially or intellectually 鈥 nor treats the school system as the heart of society, he says. In China, or Singapore, or northern Europe, various actors have together grappled with the school question during the pandemic, whereas in the U.S. decision-making has become commodified and siloed. 鈥淚t makes you a customer rather than a participant in the process,鈥 he says. 鈥淲here the social fabric of education is stronger, they are managing a lot better in this crisis.鈥

Robert Pianta, dean of the school of education and human development at the University of Virginia, says this crisis has laid bare where America鈥檚 failings lie. 鈥淚t has definitely exposed weaknesses, in the same way 9-11 exposed the weaknesses in our homeland security,鈥 he says. 鈥淚 would hope that we are able to sit back and ask, 鈥楢re we doing this the right way?鈥 and double down on our efforts to dedicate ourselves to 鈥榟arden鈥 that system.鈥

In Germany, those questions were already settled. Decision-making has been driven by research that shows children and young people are not the driving force behind the pandemic. Nationwide, infection figures have remained low in schools, with the education policy officials highlighting the need for public cooperation. People have a responsibility to restrict private lives and meetings with friends so that 鈥渙ur children and young people can get the education they are entitled to,鈥 announced听Stefanie Hubig, president of the conference of ministers of education and cultural affairs, in late October. 鈥淭his is our educational policy, but it is also our task for society as a whole.鈥

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