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Tesla鈥檚 Model 3: too much demand, too little capacity to deliver?

Company CEO Elon Musk contends that the company has learned from past mistakes, and promises 2018 delivery.

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Tesla Motors via AP
The photo shows the Model 3 car. The promise of an affordable electric car from Tesla Motors had hundreds of people lining up to reserve one. At a starting price of $35,000 鈥 before federal and state government incentives 鈥 the Model 3 is less than half the cost of Tesla's previous models.

Within just the 24 hours Tesla鈥檚 launch of its Model 3, the company received 180,000 pre-orders orders, and up to 276,000 within 72 hours. And as of Thursday, th, the company announced.

The enthusiasm for the electric car 鈥 which is set to sell at an average price of $42,000 鈥 continues to soar. Yet many still wonder if the company鈥檚 deliveries will match the pre-orders.

Its most recent vehicle, the "falcon-wing" Model X SUV, was expected to arrive mid 2014, but was only delivered to customers in late 2015.

On Monday the company announced that it delivered 14,820 vehicles in the first quarter including 12,420 Model S sedans and 2,400 Model X utility vehicles, 2,000 short of the 16,000 deliveries that it had promised to deliver in the first quarter.

At the unveiling of the Model 3 last week, Company Chief Executive Elon Musk contended that they had learned from their past mistakes, adding that h. 听Mr. Musk has touted the company鈥檚 potential, saying its Fremont production facility has the capability to produce up 500,000 vehicles. But he also admitted the production planning would have to change in order to meet the demands.

鈥淚 think the mistake we made with the Model X, which I really think we鈥檝e taken to heart at Tesla, is that we put too many new features and technologies, too many great things all at once, into a product.鈥

Some analysts agree that Tesla might be able to deliver if the new model doesn鈥檛 involve a complicated design that would require more production time.

鈥淚f they h,鈥滼essica Caldwell, senior analyst at Edmunds.com, told the Los Angeles Times. 鈥淭hey're producing a higher number [of vehicles], but the complexity of production would be less.鈥

But others are still skeptical. As the Daily Beast鈥檚 Edward Niedermeyer put it:

鈥淚t鈥檚 highly unusual for an automaker to preview a production vehicle so far from its actual launch date for a variety of reasons: as Musk admits, the car is likely to change during the next two years of development work. In the meantime, a heavily hyped but unavailable car could cut into demand for Tesla鈥檚 existing models. With Tesla鈥檚 cash reserves falling below $1 billion and dwindling fast, the company might not survive long enough to launch the car people are currently lined up for.鈥

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