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How a new space weather forecaster could help protect astronauts

A new study finds that Earth-bound telescopes can more quickly detect the arrival of potentially hazardous particles from the sun than ones in orbit, adding extra time to protect spacefarers.

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SDO/NASA/Reuters
This picture shows coronal mass ejection as viewed by the Solar Dynamics Observatory in June 2011.

Solar storms often roil the surface of Earth鈥檚 star, but their effects are rarely limited to that body alone; rather, they can send deep punches of energy blazing out into space.

Of these, the most powerful is known as a coronal mass ejection (CME), millions of tons 鈥 even a billion 鈥 of protons and electrons hurtling from the sun. While Earth鈥檚 atmosphere and magnetic field offer protection from the most dangerous effects of these and other forms of space weather, astronauts out in space are more vulnerable.

It is for this reason that a newly developed technique promising earlier warning of these solar events could provide such a critical contribution to future space travel.

鈥淩obotic spacecraft are usually radiation-hardened to protect against these kinds of events,鈥 said Chris St. Cyr, a space scientist at NASA鈥檚 Goddard Space Flight Center, in a press release. 鈥淏ut .鈥

Most space-weather research is done using space-based satellites, a big advantage of which is the absence of interruption by cloud cover. Aside from this limitation, however, ground-based instruments are able to offer a much higher time resolution than their space-bound colleagues 鈥 and they have the added benefit of being able to return data almost instantly.

Given that solar energetic particles, which are associated with CMEs, move so quickly, anything that can be done to shave time off the transmission and analysis of data is vital.

鈥淲ith space-based coronagraphs, we get images back every 20-30 minutes,鈥 said Sr. St. Cyr, who was also the study鈥檚 lead author. 鈥淵ou鈥檒l see the CME in one frame, and by the time you get the next frame 鈥 which contains the information we need to tell how fast it鈥檚 moving 鈥 the energetic particles have already arrived.鈥

A coronagraph works by blocking out the bright face of the sun, thereby allowing observation of the wispy tendrils that surround it, the corona.聽In聽, astronomers using聽K-Cor, a coronagraph that perches atop Hawaii鈥檚 Mauna Loa volcano, were able to show that the information needed to predict the energy particles鈥 arrival was available about 45 minutes before they slammed into the Earth, tens of minutes before they even left the sun鈥檚 inner atmosphere.

The idea, assuming that repetitions of this study yield similar conclusions, is to couple the new technique with faster transfer of images online, providing a near real-time picture of space weather, similar to the service provided by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association for Earth鈥檚 own weather.聽

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