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Gas prices hit 100-day low as US oil cushions global turmoil

Gas prices in the US have fallen to the lowest level in 100 days, and drivers have strong US energy production to thank. Analysts say the domestic oil boom is softening the impact that turmoil in Iraq and Ukraine would otherwise have on prices at the pump.

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Sait Serkan Gurbuz/St. Joseph News-Press/AP
Lance Thompson pumps gas into his truck at a Love's station in St. Joseph, Mo. Gas prices hit a 100-day low Thursday, with strong US production softening the impact of unrest in the Middle East and Ukraine.

Feeling relief at the pump? You should be. US gas prices reached a 100-day low Thursday, and analysts expect prices to continue falling.

The drop in prices comes at a time when energy costs might otherwise be skyrocketing. New US sanctions on Russia target the largest-producing oil company in the world. A downed commercial airliner has ratcheted up tension even further in Ukraine. Violence and unrest continues in Iraq and elsewhere across the Middle East. But increased US production and a return of Libyan exports have reassured oil markets, and that helps keep gas prices in check.

Thursday鈥檚 average price of $3.58 a gallon was the lowest price US drivers paid since early April, according to averages released by , a website that tracks gas prices nationwide. Gas prices have held steady or dipped lower for the last 20 days 鈥 the most consecutive down days since June and July of last year. And for now, it looks like consumers can expect a break at the pump for the rest of the summer.

鈥淲e anticipate retail price decreases from 10 to 20 cents a gallon over the next two to three weeks, depending on what part of the country you鈥檙e in,鈥 says GasBuddy senior petroleum analyst Gregg Laskoski, adding that prices have declined four cents this week alone.

Market watchers are tracking oil production and potential disruptions in Iraq, Libya, Ukraine, Venezuela, and Nigeria, but no major shocks are expected. And even recent turmoil in Iraq has had minimal impact on US drivers, with prices at the pump cushioned by the US鈥檚 robust domestic oil production.

鈥淭here鈥檚 been an extraordinary energy boom that鈥檚 helped soften the blow that occurs from geopolitical events,鈥 Mr. Laskoski says in a telephone interview Friday. 鈥淐onsumers are protected from those events with the low cost of crude that鈥檚 extremely abundant.鈥

Automotive group AAA said that gas prices were falling this week as stability increases in Iraq.

鈥淸T]he retail price at the pump continued to tick lower following the Independence Day holiday due primarily to lower crude oil costs as the situation stabilizes in Iraq,鈥 AAA said in a released Monday.

The downing of a Malaysian Airlines jetliner in Ukraine Thursday threatens to reverse that trend. The news sent US crude oil prices up nearly $2 to close $103.19 a barrel Thursday. Brent crude rose by 72 cents to end Thursday at $107.89 a barrel. Both were slightly down as of midday trading Friday. 聽聽

Other unforeseeable events 鈥 like hurricanes and tropical storms, or sudden global instability 鈥 could also cause unexpected increases in gas prices.

But otherwise, the outlook is promising.

鈥淭he national average may continue to slide or remain flat, barring any geopolitical concerns, major hurricane or refinery disruptions,鈥 AAA鈥檚 report said.

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