海角大神

Think red-hot heat鈥檚 bad? Just wait until code magenta.

A new warning tool created by the National Weather Service and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention aims to respond to the increasing dangers of severe heat. The system offers a seven-day forecast with risks from minimal to extreme.

|
Matt Rourke/AP
A new heat risk system developed by the National Weather Service and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention features five color-coded tiers. Magenta is the most dangerous level.

Forget about red hot. A new color-coded heat warning system relies on magenta to alert Americans to the most dangerous conditions they may see this summer.

The National Weather Service and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on April 22 鈥 Earth Day 鈥 presented a new online heat risk system that combines meteorological and medical risk factors with a seven-day forecast that鈥檚 simplified and color-coded for a warming world of worsening heat waves.

鈥淔or the first time we鈥檒l be able to know how hot is too hot for health and not just for today but for coming weeks,鈥 Dr. Ari Bernstein, director of the National Center for Environmental Health, said at a joint news conference by government health and weather agencies.

Magenta is the worst and deadliest of five heat threat categories, hitting everybody with what the agencies are calling 鈥渞are and/or long-duration extreme heat with little to no overnight relief.鈥 It鈥檚 a step higher than red, considered a major risk, which hurts anyone without adequate cooling and hydration and has impacts reverberating through the health care system and some industries. Red is used when a day falls within the top 5% hottest in a particular location for a particular date; when other factors come into play, the alert level may bump even higher to magenta, weather service officials said.

On the other hand, pale green is little to no risk. Yellow is a minor risk, mostly to the very young, old, sick, and pregnant. Orange is a moderate risk, mostly affecting those who are sensitive to heat and without access to cooling, such as the homeless.

The five categories rest on strict science-set numerical thresholds, like the Saffir Simpson hurricane scale that is familiar for its Category 1 through 5 terminology, though the heat version is specific to location, said National Weather Service Director Ken Graham. The thresholds were calculated using local weather data, local climatology that shows what people are used to at certain locations at each time of year, and localized health and medical data for when heat illnesses and deaths show up in the area, he said.

鈥淗eat is a threat to our health,鈥 CDC Director Dr. Mandy Cohen said. She said last year more than 120,000 people were taken to the emergency room in the United States because of heat. Last year was one of the deadliest years in decades for heat, according to government records.

Heat is by far the No. 1 weather cause of death in the United States, said National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration chief Rick Spinrad, citing CDC data of 1,200 deaths per year. Last year was the hottest year on record globally.

Both the weather service and CDC will put versions of the tool on their websites. Enter a ZIP code on the CDC dashboard to get more focus on health risks and air quality and zoom in on the weather service map online for more detailed forecasts and explanations. Both versions include heat risk for the next seven days and there is a Spanish edition. The CDC site is https://www.cdc.gov/heatrisk and the weather service version is https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/heatrisk/

There are numerous other meteorological indexes for heat, Mr. Graham said. Those include the heat index, which factors in humidity; wet bulb globe temperature, which is aimed at outdoor heat stress in the sun; and universal thermal climate index, which brings in radiation and other urban heat factors.

鈥淭his is a way to simplify that,鈥 Mr. Graham said. 鈥淵ou鈥檝e got to be able to simplify the stuff so that people actually want to look at it first of all and most importantly understand it.鈥

A version of the heat risk map has been in use in California and other parts of the West for about a decade, he said.

Health officials Dr. Cohen and Dr. Bernstein said even as the heat gets worse with climate change, society can protect people with better warnings and better planning, such as advanced discussions with health care providers.

The Weather Service鈥檚 seasonal forecast for May and June shows likely above-average temperatures for much of the United States, Mr. Graham said. 鈥淪o as summer approaches, it鈥檚 going to be as hot as ever and even more so if we get above average.鈥

鈥淗eat waves are getting hotter, longer, more frequent and you鈥檙e getting less relief at night,鈥 Mr. Graham said, citing numerous studies in the past decade. 鈥淪o it鈥檚 becoming increasingly serious.鈥

This story was reported by The Associated Press.

You've read  of  free articles. Subscribe to continue.
Real news can be honest, hopeful, credible, constructive.
海角大神 was founded in 1908 to lift the standard of journalism and uplift humanity. We aim to 鈥渟peak the truth in love.鈥 Our goal is not to tell you what to think, but to give you the essential knowledge and understanding to come to your own intelligent conclusions. Join us in this mission by subscribing.
QR Code to Think red-hot heat鈥檚 bad? Just wait until code magenta.
Read this article in
/Environment/2024/0423/cdc-weather-extreme-heat-warning
QR Code to Subscription page
Start your subscription today
/subscribe