Christa Case Bryant
For years, climate researchers studied a scenario dubbed RCP 8.5, which included Florida鈥檚 coastline disappearing under water and sub-Saharan Africa witnessing more than 85 million climate migrants by 2050. Then, this spring, climate scientists decided it was 鈥渋mplausible.鈥
鈥淚t鈥檚 useful to have worst-case scenarios,鈥 says Zeke Hausfather, who co-authored a 2020 paper arguing that RCP 8.5 was being incorrectly interpreted as our default future. 鈥漈he problem for a while is that people were conflating the worst case with the most likely outcome.鈥
Today, our new Science and Environment writer, Story Hinckley, looks at how challenging it is to communicate the complexity and nuance of climate change research, particularly given how politically charged the issue has become. And our editorial board weighs in, too, with a separate piece.