In the latest Virginia elections, as well as American elections generally, we look at the role of negative partisanship. It鈥檚 when voters are more motivated by what they dislike in an opponent, than what they like in their own candidate.
Some 2,300 New York City firefighters didn鈥檛 show up for work Monday, taking 鈥渟ick leave鈥 rather than get vaccinated.
The city had issued an ultimatum to all employees: Get vaccinated or risk losing your job. The mandate is , warned the president of the Uniformed Firefighters Association.
The Big Apple firefighter 鈥渟ickout鈥 sounded like this might be a political uprising for personal liberty, but one that was risking public safety. What if a fire broke out and no one showed up?聽The situation seemed to be fueling fears and feeding a larger narrative of polarization.聽
If you look a little closer, the numbers tell a more nuanced story.聽
Police, firefighters, and municipal employees aren鈥檛 spearheading a rebellion. Most are calmly complying.聽
Overall, 92% of the city鈥檚 employees have received at least one vaccine dose 鈥 well above the rate聽. The vaccination rate among New York City police officers is at 85%, up from 70% two weeks ago. The vaccination rate of firefighters was 77%, up from 58% on Oct. 20, say city officials.聽And that 鈥渆xodus鈥 of 2,300 firefighters on 鈥渟ick leave鈥? That鈥檚 only about twice the normal sick leave rate.聽
Yes, some 聽鈥 from police to sanitation workers 鈥 have been placed on unpaid leave for not getting vaccinated. Again, that sounds like a big number. But it鈥檚 less than 3% of the total city workforce. And out of that 9,000, only 89 police officers (out of 35,000) had been placed on unpaid leave as of Tuesday.聽
It鈥檚 a reminder of the need to delve beneath the headlines for the facts. The situation is still unsettled, but the dangers and stakes need to be calibrated honestly. What could look like a rebellion against government tyranny on closer scrutiny looks more like a story of law-abiding workers doing their best to navigate difficult choices.