Latest Chicago Fed data shows economic improvement in September
The latest release of the聽Chicago Federal Reserve National Activity (CFNAI)聽showed an improvement of the national economy with the index climbing from the prior month to stand at a very weak 0.00 while the three month moving average remained very near contraction territory at -0.37.聽
The CFNAI is a weighted average of 85 indicators of national economic activity collected into four overall categories of 鈥減roduction and income鈥�, 鈥渆mployment, unemployment and income鈥�, 鈥減ersonal consumption and housing鈥� and 鈥渟ales, orders and inventories鈥�.聽
The Chicago Fed regards a value of zero for the total index as indicating that the national economy is expanding at its historical trend rate while a negative value indicates below average growth.聽
A value at or below -0.70 for the three month moving average of the national activity index (CFNAI-MA3) indicates that the national economy has either just entered or continues in recession.聽
